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A closely watched survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services slumped in July to its lowest level since 2001.

Indices of activity from purchasing managers from China to the US yesterday showed a pick-up in manufacturing and, crucially, healthy-looking order books.

Manufacturing and construction fell again in May but they are no longer plunging, according to the latest surveys of purchasing managers.

This reinforces the message from the recent purchasing managers' indexes, that the inventory restocking that was fueling a V-shaped recovery in the industrial sector is petering out.

This economic optimism has largely been justified by the data, notably by the purchasing managers' surveys of both manufacturing and services.

American factory purchasing managers reported a sharp jump in export orders in October and a drop in imports.

Some optimists have also pounced on the purchasing managers' index, a gauge of manufacturing activity, which increased in January for the second month running.